NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS CLE
Points 113.3 114.0
Total Points   227.3
Points From 2-Pointers 56.6 54.5
Points From 3-Pointers 41.4 43.4
Points From Free Throws 15.2 16.2
Shooting GS CLE
Field Goals Made 42.1 41.7
Field Goals Attempted 90.0 88.8
Field Goal % 46.8% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.9 48.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 14.5
3 Pointers Attempted 37.1 40.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 15.2 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 21.3
Free Throw % 76.4% 75.9%
Ball Control GS CLE
Rebounds 50.9 48.8
Rebounds - Defensive 38.0 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 11.6
Turnovers 12.3 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.3
Steals 6.3 6.6
Fouls 17.4 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS CLE
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.9 101.3
% of Possessions with GS CLE
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 35.0%
Player Fouled 15.3% 17.2%
Turnover 12.1% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS CLE
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 23.4%