NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS MEM
Points 118.1 107.5
Total Points   225.6
Points From 2-Pointers 56.3 49.0
Points From 3-Pointers 45.8 41.6
Points From Free Throws 16.0 16.9
Shooting GS MEM
Field Goals Made 43.4 38.4
Field Goals Attempted 89.6 90.0
Field Goal % 48.4% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.1 24.5
2 Pointers Attempted 50.6 50.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 15.3 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 39.1 39.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.0% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 16.0 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 22.0
Free Throw % 77.7% 76.6%
Ball Control GS MEM
Rebounds 54.2 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 40.4 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 13.4
Turnovers 14.3 13.0
Blocked Shots 6.1 5.9
Steals 6.8 7.7
Fouls 17.2 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS MEM
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.8 102.7
% of Possessions with GS MEM
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 33.8%
Player Fouled 15.7% 16.8%
Turnover 14.0% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS MEM
Shot Blocked 6.7% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 24.9%