NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS SAC
Points 116.1 116.3
Total Points   232.5
Points From 2-Pointers 55.6 55.6
Points From 3-Pointers 43.9 44.9
Points From Free Throws 16.7 15.9
Shooting GS SAC
Field Goals Made 42.4 42.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.3 91.9
Field Goal % 48.0% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 27.8
2 Pointers Attempted 51.5 51.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.6 15.0
3 Pointers Attempted 36.8 40.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.8% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 16.7 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 21.3
Free Throw % 77.7% 74.6%
Ball Control GS SAC
Rebounds 50.6 49.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.9 36.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 13.0
Turnovers 13.3 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.3
Steals 6.1 7.2
Fouls 16.9 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS SAC
Total Possessions 102.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.1 104.7
% of Possessions with GS SAC
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 34.9%
Player Fouled 16.6% 16.4%
Turnover 12.9% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS SAC
Shot Blocked 4.7% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 25.1%