NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS NY
Points 113.4 114.0
Total Points   227.4
Points From 2-Pointers 56.0 54.6
Points From 3-Pointers 42.9 42.1
Points From Free Throws 14.5 17.4
Shooting GS NY
Field Goals Made 42.3 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 90.0 90.9
Field Goal % 47.0% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 27.3
2 Pointers Attempted 51.5 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.3 14.0
3 Pointers Attempted 38.5 39.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 14.5 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 22.2
Free Throw % 76.4% 78.1%
Ball Control GS NY
Rebounds 49.7 51.9
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 15.5
Turnovers 12.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.3
Steals 5.5 6.7
Fouls 17.0 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS NY
Total Possessions 100.2
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 104.3
% of Possessions with GS NY
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 33.5%
Player Fouled 15.4% 17.0%
Turnover 12.2% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS NY
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 29.9%