NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS LAL
Points 120.8 119.0
Total Points   239.8
Points From 2-Pointers 59.5 63.2
Points From 3-Pointers 48.0 36.8
Points From Free Throws 13.3 19.0
Shooting GS LAL
Field Goals Made 45.8 43.9
Field Goals Attempted 97.0 87.8
Field Goal % 47.2% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 31.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.4 55.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 16.0 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 41.7 32.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 13.3 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 24.6
Free Throw % 76.4% 77.1%
Ball Control GS LAL
Rebounds 52.0 47.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 38.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.5 9.2
Turnovers 11.7 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.9
Steals 6.5 6.4
Fouls 18.5 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS LAL
Total Possessions 104.5
Effective Scoring Chances 107.3 101.9
% of Possessions with GS LAL
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 34.5% 28.0%
Player Fouled 12.8% 17.7%
Turnover 11.2% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS LAL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 19.8%