NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS DAL
Points 117.1 117.2
Total Points   234.2
Points From 2-Pointers 56.8 54.9
Points From 3-Pointers 44.4 45.1
Points From Free Throws 15.8 17.2
Shooting GS DAL
Field Goals Made 43.2 42.5
Field Goals Attempted 92.1 90.3
Field Goal % 46.9% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 53.6 49.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 14.8 15.0
3 Pointers Attempted 38.5 41.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 15.8 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 22.7
Free Throw % 77.7% 75.6%
Ball Control GS DAL
Rebounds 53.2 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 39.4 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 11.2
Turnovers 12.7 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.8
Steals 6.2 6.2
Fouls 18.7 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS DAL
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 104.3 103.6
% of Possessions with GS DAL
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 35.4%
Player Fouled 15.1% 18.1%
Turnover 12.3% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS DAL
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 22.1%