NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS DAL
Points 118.8 119.4
Total Points   238.3
Points From 2-Pointers 57.6 57.1
Points From 3-Pointers 44.7 44.5
Points From Free Throws 16.5 17.9
Shooting GS DAL
Field Goals Made 43.7 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 92.8 90.5
Field Goal % 47.1% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.8 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 53.0 49.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 14.9 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 39.8 41.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 16.5 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 23.6
Free Throw % 76.4% 75.9%
Ball Control GS DAL
Rebounds 53.3 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 38.9 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 11.2
Turnovers 12.3 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.5
Steals 5.8 6.2
Fouls 19.1 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS DAL
Total Possessions 103.8
Effective Scoring Chances 105.8 104.4
% of Possessions with GS DAL
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 35.2%
Player Fouled 15.6% 18.4%
Turnover 11.9% 10.2%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS DAL
Shot Blocked 5.0% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 22.4%