NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS DEN
Points 113.0 116.0
Total Points   229.1
Points From 2-Pointers 58.7 63.3
Points From 3-Pointers 38.1 37.0
Points From Free Throws 16.2 15.7
Shooting GS DEN
Field Goals Made 42.1 44.0
Field Goals Attempted 91.1 90.9
Field Goal % 46.2% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 29.4 31.7
2 Pointers Attempted 56.4 57.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 16.2 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 20.5
Free Throw % 77.7% 76.8%
Ball Control GS DEN
Rebounds 50.4 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 12.6
Turnovers 11.5 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.4
Steals 5.7 6.4
Fouls 16.6 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS DEN
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 102.8
% of Possessions with GS DEN
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 29.0%
Player Fouled 15.2% 16.4%
Turnover 11.4% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS DEN
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 25.7%