NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS IND
Points 116.7 110.0
Total Points   226.7
Points From 2-Pointers 56.0 56.4
Points From 3-Pointers 40.7 37.1
Points From Free Throws 20.0 16.4
Shooting GS IND
Field Goals Made 41.6 40.6
Field Goals Attempted 87.0 87.9
Field Goal % 47.8% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 47.6 52.9
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.6 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 39.4 35.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 20.0 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 21.4
Free Throw % 79.8% 76.6%
Ball Control GS IND
Rebounds 50.5 47.3
Rebounds - Defensive 38.9 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 10.9
Turnovers 13.7 14.3
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.0
Steals 8.4 7.3
Fouls 18.1 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS IND
Total Possessions 104.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.0 100.7
% of Possessions with GS IND
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.6% 30.0%
Player Fouled 17.9% 17.4%
Turnover 13.1% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS IND
Shot Blocked 4.7% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 21.8%