NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS IND
Points 113.1 115.5
Total Points   228.7
Points From 2-Pointers 52.8 61.8
Points From 3-Pointers 44.1 37.1
Points From Free Throws 16.2 16.6
Shooting GS IND
Field Goals Made 41.1 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.4 87.7
Field Goal % 45.0% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 26.4 30.9
2 Pointers Attempted 50.4 53.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 41.0 34.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 16.2 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 21.4
Free Throw % 72.0% 77.7%
Ball Control GS IND
Rebounds 52.1 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 38.6
Rebounds - Offensive 14.7 9.3
Turnovers 13.0 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.8
Steals 6.9 6.9
Fouls 17.4 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS IND
Total Possessions 103.0
Effective Scoring Chances 104.6 99.9
% of Possessions with GS IND
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 34.2% 29.9%
Player Fouled 15.8% 16.9%
Turnover 12.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS IND
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 19.9%