NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS NO
Points 113.7 114.7
Total Points   228.4
Points From 2-Pointers 53.0 58.4
Points From 3-Pointers 45.7 38.8
Points From Free Throws 14.9 17.5
Shooting GS NO
Field Goals Made 41.7 42.1
Field Goals Attempted 88.8 88.9
Field Goal % 47.0% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 29.2
2 Pointers Attempted 47.2 54.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 15.2 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 41.6 34.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 14.9 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 22.6
Free Throw % 77.7% 77.4%
Ball Control GS NO
Rebounds 49.8 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 37.2 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 12.0
Turnovers 13.4 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.4
Steals 5.5 7.6
Fouls 16.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS NO
Total Possessions 101.2
Effective Scoring Chances 100.4 102.1
% of Possessions with GS NO
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 36.0% 30.1%
Player Fouled 15.4% 16.5%
Turnover 13.3% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS NO
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 24.5%