NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS TOR
Points 110.7 114.8
Total Points   225.5
Points From 2-Pointers 49.8 64.1
Points From 3-Pointers 43.0 33.9
Points From Free Throws 18.0 16.8
Shooting GS TOR
Field Goals Made 39.2 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 84.5 87.1
Field Goal % 46.4% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 24.9 32.0
2 Pointers Attempted 43.4 56.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 14.3 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 41.1 31.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 18.0 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 22.2
Free Throw % 79.6% 75.9%
Ball Control GS TOR
Rebounds 46.7 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 35.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 12.1
Turnovers 16.0 13.7
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.2
Steals 8.1 8.7
Fouls 17.6 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS TOR
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 98.4 100.5
% of Possessions with GS TOR
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 35.4% 26.8%
Player Fouled 17.7% 17.3%
Turnover 15.6% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS TOR
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 26.1%