NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS PHO
Points 115.1 116.4
Total Points   231.4
Points From 2-Pointers 55.3 57.9
Points From 3-Pointers 44.8 39.8
Points From Free Throws 14.9 18.7
Shooting GS PHO
Field Goals Made 42.6 42.2
Field Goals Attempted 93.4 87.5
Field Goal % 45.6% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 28.9
2 Pointers Attempted 53.9 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 14.9 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 39.5 34.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 14.9 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 23.2
Free Throw % 77.7% 80.7%
Ball Control GS PHO
Rebounds 49.8 50.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.6 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 14.2 11.9
Turnovers 11.9 12.9
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.4
Steals 7.0 6.8
Fouls 17.8 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS PHO
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 104.6 101.3
% of Possessions with GS PHO
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 30.1%
Player Fouled 14.7% 17.4%
Turnover 11.6% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS PHO
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 25.1%