NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS OKC
Points 115.0 120.2
Total Points   235.3
Points From 2-Pointers 51.9 60.3
Points From 3-Pointers 46.4 41.9
Points From Free Throws 16.7 18.1
Shooting GS OKC
Field Goals Made 41.4 44.1
Field Goals Attempted 91.4 90.4
Field Goal % 45.3% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 26.0 30.1
2 Pointers Attempted 51.0 54.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 15.5 14.0
3 Pointers Attempted 40.4 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 16.7 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 22.0
Free Throw % 77.7% 82.2%
Ball Control GS OKC
Rebounds 52.7 47.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.7 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 15.0 10.3
Turnovers 14.6 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.7 6.3
Steals 6.1 7.7
Fouls 17.6 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS OKC
Total Possessions 103.7
Effective Scoring Chances 104.1 102.9
% of Possessions with GS OKC
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 31.2%
Player Fouled 15.2% 17.0%
Turnover 14.1% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS OKC
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 21.5%