NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS MIN
Points 109.2 113.4
Total Points   222.6
Points From 2-Pointers 52.9 54.8
Points From 3-Pointers 39.9 40.5
Points From Free Throws 16.4 18.1
Shooting GS MIN
Field Goals Made 39.7 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 89.1 86.4
Field Goal % 44.6% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 51.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 35.3 35.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 16.4 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 23.5
Free Throw % 77.7% 77.2%
Ball Control GS MIN
Rebounds 50.6 49.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 11.1
Turnovers 13.5 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.7
Steals 6.4 7.3
Fouls 18.6 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS MIN
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 100.3
% of Possessions with GS MIN
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 30.7%
Player Fouled 15.8% 18.4%
Turnover 13.3% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS MIN
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 23.1%