NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS POR
Points 120.9 110.9
Total Points   231.8
Points From 2-Pointers 63.3 56.9
Points From 3-Pointers 40.1 36.6
Points From Free Throws 17.5 17.4
Shooting GS POR
Field Goals Made 45.0 40.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.7 91.0
Field Goal % 50.2% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 31.6 28.4
2 Pointers Attempted 52.9 56.1
2 Point Shooting % 59.8% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 36.8 34.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 17.5 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 21.9
Free Throw % 76.4% 79.7%
Ball Control GS POR
Rebounds 52.2 47.5
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 33.2
Rebounds - Offensive 14.2 14.3
Turnovers 13.3 13.1
Blocked Shots 5.4 4.3
Steals 7.1 6.9
Fouls 16.6 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS POR
Total Possessions 102.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.7 103.9
% of Possessions with GS POR
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 29.2%
Player Fouled 17.2% 16.2%
Turnover 12.9% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS POR
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 27.3%