NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS POR
Points 114.4 115.1
Total Points   229.5
Points From 2-Pointers 53.2 48.7
Points From 3-Pointers 44.3 45.5
Points From Free Throws 16.8 21.0
Shooting GS POR
Field Goals Made 41.4 39.5
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 90.7
Field Goal % 47.2% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 26.6 24.3
2 Pointers Attempted 48.9 50.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 14.8 15.2
3 Pointers Attempted 38.8 40.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 16.8 21.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 25.4
Free Throw % 77.9% 82.5%
Ball Control GS POR
Rebounds 49.3 52.5
Rebounds - Defensive 40.5 39.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 12.7
Turnovers 12.6 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.5
Steals 6.0 6.6
Fouls 18.6 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS POR
Total Possessions 103.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.0 105.6
% of Possessions with GS POR
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.9% 34.2%
Player Fouled 16.7% 17.9%
Turnover 12.1% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS POR
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 23.9%