NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS MIL
Points 113.8 126.9
Total Points   240.6
Points From 2-Pointers 61.4 66.3
Points From 3-Pointers 36.9 39.4
Points From Free Throws 15.5 21.1
Shooting WAS MIL
Field Goals Made 43.0 46.3
Field Goals Attempted 93.4 89.5
Field Goal % 46.0% 51.7%
2 Pointers Made 30.7 33.2
2 Pointers Attempted 57.9 54.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 61.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 35.5 35.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 15.5 21.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 27.1
Free Throw % 76.3% 78.1%
Ball Control WAS MIL
Rebounds 45.3 53.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 42.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 11.3
Turnovers 11.4 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.4
Steals 6.3 6.5
Fouls 18.7 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS MIL
Total Possessions 105.8
Effective Scoring Chances 104.6 105.4
% of Possessions with WAS MIL
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 29.9%
Player Fouled 15.8% 17.7%
Turnover 10.7% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS MIL
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.4% 24.4%