NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS CLE
Points 109.1 120.2
Total Points   229.2
Points From 2-Pointers 59.1 64.7
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 37.9
Points From Free Throws 15.1 17.5
Shooting WAS CLE
Field Goals Made 41.2 45.0
Field Goals Attempted 89.3 89.4
Field Goal % 46.1% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 32.4
2 Pointers Attempted 55.8 54.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 59.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 33.5 35.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 15.1 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 23.1
Free Throw % 76.3% 75.9%
Ball Control WAS CLE
Rebounds 44.8 52.6
Rebounds - Defensive 34.9 40.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 12.3
Turnovers 12.6 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.8 5.3
Steals 7.1 6.9
Fouls 17.9 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS CLE
Total Possessions 103.1
Effective Scoring Chances 100.4 102.9
% of Possessions with WAS CLE
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 30.2%
Player Fouled 14.9% 17.3%
Turnover 12.2% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS CLE
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 26.0%