NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS BOS
Points 107.2 127.4
Total Points   234.6
Points From 2-Pointers 56.4 64.1
Points From 3-Pointers 38.3 45.6
Points From Free Throws 12.5 17.8
Shooting WAS BOS
Field Goals Made 41.0 47.2
Field Goals Attempted 95.0 92.6
Field Goal % 43.1% 51.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 32.0
2 Pointers Attempted 57.3 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 60.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 15.2
3 Pointers Attempted 37.7 39.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 12.5 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 22.4
Free Throw % 76.8% 79.2%
Ball Control WAS BOS
Rebounds 45.5 57.2
Rebounds - Defensive 34.6 44.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 13.2
Turnovers 11.3 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.7 7.7
Steals 5.4 6.7
Fouls 16.3 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS BOS
Total Possessions 103.5
Effective Scoring Chances 103.1 106.0
% of Possessions with WAS BOS
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 33.8%
Player Fouled 13.4% 15.7%
Turnover 10.9% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS BOS
Shot Blocked 8.5% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 27.6%