NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS LAC
Points 111.8 123.6
Total Points   235.4
Points From 2-Pointers 58.8 68.1
Points From 3-Pointers 37.4 34.5
Points From Free Throws 15.6 21.0
Shooting WAS LAC
Field Goals Made 41.8 45.5
Field Goals Attempted 90.6 88.8
Field Goal % 46.2% 51.3%
2 Pointers Made 29.4 34.0
2 Pointers Attempted 54.7 57.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 35.9 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 15.6 21.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 25.2
Free Throw % 76.8% 83.5%
Ball Control WAS LAC
Rebounds 43.5 52.4
Rebounds - Defensive 32.9 40.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 12.3
Turnovers 12.0 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.8
Steals 6.6 7.4
Fouls 18.1 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS LAC
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.9 103.6
% of Possessions with WAS LAC
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 26.5%
Player Fouled 15.6% 17.5%
Turnover 11.6% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS LAC
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 27.1%