NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS MEM
Points 113.8 114.5
Total Points   228.3
Points From 2-Pointers 58.6 59.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.9 35.9
Points From Free Throws 16.2 18.9
Shooting WAS MEM
Field Goals Made 42.3 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 89.4 90.7
Field Goal % 47.3% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 29.9
2 Pointers Attempted 53.1 55.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 36.3 35.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 16.2 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 24.7
Free Throw % 76.8% 76.6%
Ball Control WAS MEM
Rebounds 47.6 52.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.2 38.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 14.2
Turnovers 14.3 13.8
Blocked Shots 6.1 7.5
Steals 7.3 8.2
Fouls 18.2 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS MEM
Total Possessions 104.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.8 105.1
% of Possessions with WAS MEM
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 29.0%
Player Fouled 16.0% 17.4%
Turnover 13.6% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS MEM
Shot Blocked 8.4% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 27.7%