NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS MEM
Points 115.1 117.5
Total Points   232.6
Points From 2-Pointers 64.8 65.8
Points From 3-Pointers 29.0 31.8
Points From Free Throws 21.3 19.8
Shooting WAS MEM
Field Goals Made 42.1 43.5
Field Goals Attempted 88.0 92.8
Field Goal % 47.8% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 32.4 32.9
2 Pointers Attempted 60.9 63.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 27.1 29.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 21.3 19.8
Free Throws Attempted 27.6 25.5
Free Throw % 77.0% 77.7%
Ball Control WAS MEM
Rebounds 49.7 51.7
Rebounds - Defensive 39.4 38.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.9
Turnovers 13.9 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.9
Steals 6.4 8.9
Fouls 18.5 19.8

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS MEM
Total Possessions 107.6
Effective Scoring Chances 104.1 108.0
% of Possessions with WAS MEM
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 51.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 24.1%
Player Fouled 18.4% 17.2%
Turnover 12.9% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS MEM
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 24.6%