NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS MEM
Points 112.8 113.7
Total Points   226.5
Points From 2-Pointers 58.9 58.3
Points From 3-Pointers 38.1 36.7
Points From Free Throws 15.7 18.7
Shooting WAS MEM
Field Goals Made 42.2 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 90.3 89.6
Field Goal % 46.7% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 29.1
2 Pointers Attempted 54.7 53.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 35.6 35.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 15.7 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 24.7
Free Throw % 76.3% 75.8%
Ball Control WAS MEM
Rebounds 48.5 52.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.6 39.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 13.4
Turnovers 14.1 14.1
Blocked Shots 6.1 7.2
Steals 7.5 7.7
Fouls 18.4 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS MEM
Total Possessions 104.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.5 104.0
% of Possessions with WAS MEM
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 29.7%
Player Fouled 15.7% 17.6%
Turnover 13.5% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS MEM
Shot Blocked 8.2% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 26.3%