NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS ATL
Points 121.5 125.1
Total Points   246.6
Points From 2-Pointers 64.7 67.1
Points From 3-Pointers 40.6 37.3
Points From Free Throws 16.2 20.7
Shooting WAS ATL
Field Goals Made 45.9 46.0
Field Goals Attempted 91.1 93.6
Field Goal % 50.3% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 32.4 33.5
2 Pointers Attempted 54.7 58.6
2 Point Shooting % 59.2% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.5 34.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 16.2 20.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 26.4
Free Throw % 76.8% 78.3%
Ball Control WAS ATL
Rebounds 45.2 52.7
Rebounds - Defensive 35.5 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 14.9
Turnovers 13.1 12.2
Blocked Shots 5.2 5.4
Steals 6.8 7.2
Fouls 18.5 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS ATL
Total Possessions 106.4
Effective Scoring Chances 103.0 109.1
% of Possessions with WAS ATL
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 28.3%
Player Fouled 15.6% 17.4%
Turnover 12.3% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS ATL
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 29.6%