NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS ATL
Points 120.7 126.6
Total Points   247.4
Points From 2-Pointers 64.4 67.7
Points From 3-Pointers 40.5 37.9
Points From Free Throws 15.8 21.0
Shooting WAS ATL
Field Goals Made 45.7 46.5
Field Goals Attempted 91.8 94.3
Field Goal % 49.8% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 32.2 33.9
2 Pointers Attempted 55.7 59.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 36.1 35.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 15.8 21.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 26.5
Free Throw % 76.3% 79.2%
Ball Control WAS ATL
Rebounds 45.3 53.4
Rebounds - Defensive 34.8 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 15.7
Turnovers 13.2 11.8
Blocked Shots 5.3 5.6
Steals 6.7 7.1
Fouls 18.1 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS ATL
Total Possessions 106.1
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 109.9
% of Possessions with WAS ATL
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 28.3%
Player Fouled 15.0% 17.1%
Turnover 12.4% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS ATL
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 31.0%