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Washington at Miami
Fri Dec 6, 2019
8:00pm ET
Miami, FL
Washington at Miami: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 9.5, Total Points: 228.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WAS | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-43-3 | 43-41-2 | |
| vs Division | 9-6-1 | 9-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 23-26-3 | 29-25-2 | |
| Streak | P1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-4-2 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 14-26-1 | 17-25-0 | |
| Away | 22-17-2 | 26-16-2 |
Washington Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Indiana | +4.5 | L by 23 | -18.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Memphis | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Boston | +10.5 | L by 19 | -8.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Atlanta | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 11/03 | Away | Miami | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 11/06 | Away | Philadelphia | +11.0 | L by 18 | -7.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | Charlotte | +2.5 | W by 16 | +18.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Charlotte | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | Brooklyn | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/13 | Away | Toronto | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Dallas | +4.0 | L by 13 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | New York | +7.0 | L by 21 | -14.0 |
| 11/20 | Home | Milwaukee | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Charlotte | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Milwaukee | +13.5 | L by 3 | +10.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Atlanta | +8.5 | L by 28 | -19.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | Detroit | +2.0 | W by 19 | +21.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Orlando | +10.0 | L by 19 | -9.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Orlando | +10.0 | L by 5 | +5.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Philadelphia | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Brooklyn | +9.0 | L by 27 | -18.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Philadelphia | +13.5 | L by 45 | -31.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | New Orleans | +6.5 | L by 20 | -13.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Indiana | +8.0 | W by 14 | +22.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Phoenix | +13.0 | L by 4 | +9.0 |
| 12/18 | Away | Sacramento | +14.0 | L by 12 | +2.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Portland | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Golden State | +10.5 | L by 11 | -0.5 |
| 12/26 | Home | Orlando | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Toronto | +7.0 | L by 30 | -23.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Brooklyn | +6.0 | W by 6 | +12.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Atlanta | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Cleveland | +9.0 | L by 39 | -30.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Cleveland | +10.5 | L by 24 | -13.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | New York | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Okla City | +11.0 | L by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Indiana | +8.0 | L by 8 | 0.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Atlanta | +8.0 | W by 28 | +36.0 |
| 01/15 | Home | Detroit | -6.0 | L by 12 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | New York | +12.0 | L by 4 | +8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | San Antonio | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Denver | +12.5 | L by 9 | +3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Minnesota | +10.5 | L by 11 | -0.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Utah | +7.0 | L by 15 | -8.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Detroit | +3.5 | W by 14 | +17.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | San Antonio | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | LA Clippers | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Miami | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Phoenix | +11.0 | L by 28 | -17.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Cleveland | +11.5 | L by 8 | +3.5 |
| 02/09 | Away | Boston | +18.0 | L by 4 | +14.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Philadelphia | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | Dallas | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | New Orleans | +14.5 | L by 7 | +7.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Denver | +15.5 | L by 20 | -4.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | Okla City | +16.0 | L by 41 | -25.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Cleveland | +13.5 | L by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Golden State | +10.5 | L by 11 | -0.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | LA Lakers | +10.5 | L by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | LA Clippers | +15.5 | L by 25 | -9.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | Utah | +5.0 | L by 12 | -7.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Orlando | +7.0 | L by 10 | -3.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Charlotte | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Miami | +11.5 | W by 2 | +13.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | Memphis | -2.0 | L by 12 | -14.0 |
| 03/14 | Away | Houston | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Chicago | +9.5 | L by 29 | -19.5 |
| 03/17 | Home | Boston | +14.5 | L by 26 | -11.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | Houston | +10.0 | L by 23 | -13.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | Sacramento | +11.0 | W by 7 | +18.0 |
| 03/23 | Home | Toronto | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 03/25 | Away | Chicago | +13.0 | W by 2 | +15.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Brooklyn | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Detroit | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 03/31 | Home | Miami | +12.0 | L by 12 | 0.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | Milwaukee | +13.0 | W by 4 | +17.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | LA Lakers | +13.0 | L by 5 | +8.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Portland | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Toronto | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Minnesota | +18.0 | L by 9 | +9.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Chicago | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Boston | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 1 | -8.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Memphis | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Atlanta | +7.5 | W by 8 | +15.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | San Antonio | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Cleveland | +1.5 | W by 33 | +34.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | New York | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Brooklyn | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Toronto | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Cleveland | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Orlando | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Golden State | +6.5 | W by 12 | +18.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 17 | -9.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 16 | -13.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 24 | -27.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.0 | L by 18 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | L by 9 | -20.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Boston | +8.5 | L by 33 | -24.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | New York | +4.5 | L by 16 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Sacramento | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Washington | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 26 | +22.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Boston | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 26 | +33.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | New Orleans | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | W by 11 | +18.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Washington | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Detroit | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 23 | -26.0 |
| 03/24 | Home | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 37 | +33.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Golden State | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Portland | -14.0 | W by 60 | +46.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Washington | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Indiana | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Dallas | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 22 | +8.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Toronto | -16.0 | W by 15 | -1.0 |
| 04/17 | Away | Philadelphia | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 04/19 | Home | Chicago | -2.0 | W by 21 | +19.0 |
| 04/21 | Away | Boston | +14.5 | L by 20 | -5.5 |
| 04/24 | Away | Boston | +14.0 | W by 10 | +24.0 |
| MIA -9.5 | Open | -10.5 | High | -10.5 |
| Last | -10.0 | Low | -9.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season there have been 711 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 564 times (79.3%).
- The team like Washington won the game 147 times (20.7%).
- The team like Washington did better against the spread, going 375-331-5 (53.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 1335 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Washington did better against the spread, going 657-655-23 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -10.5 | -10.0 |
| Open | -9.5 | -10.0 | -10.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/06 08:05 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 07:50 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 07:26 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 07:09 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:50 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:29 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:09 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:05 PM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 12/06 05:34 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 12/06 05:34 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 05:27 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 05:06 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 04:53 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 12/06 03:54 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 02:52 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 02:39 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 01:51 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 01:12 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 12:03 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 12/06 11:21 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 10:36 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 10:24 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 10:14 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 12/06 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 12/06 09:58 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 09:34 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 12/06 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
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