NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS CHA
Points 115.9 114.9
Total Points   230.8
Points From 2-Pointers 61.8 64.4
Points From 3-Pointers 39.3 34.0
Points From Free Throws 14.8 16.5
Shooting WAS CHA
Field Goals Made 44.0 43.5
Field Goals Attempted 89.4 89.0
Field Goal % 49.2% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 30.9 32.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 56.4
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 36.8 32.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 14.8 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 20.9
Free Throw % 76.8% 78.9%
Ball Control WAS CHA
Rebounds 46.9 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 10.7
Turnovers 13.0 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.2
Steals 6.4 6.8
Fouls 17.1 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS CHA
Total Possessions 103.2
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 101.2
% of Possessions with WAS CHA
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 28.2%
Player Fouled 15.1% 16.5%
Turnover 12.6% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS CHA
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 22.5%