NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS SAC
Points 112.9 124.3
Total Points   237.2
Points From 2-Pointers 58.4 67.7
Points From 3-Pointers 37.5 38.8
Points From Free Throws 17.0 17.8
Shooting WAS SAC
Field Goals Made 41.7 46.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.2 92.7
Field Goal % 47.3% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 29.2 33.8
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 56.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 59.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 34.2 36.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 17.0 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 23.9
Free Throw % 76.8% 74.6%
Ball Control WAS SAC
Rebounds 44.2 53.8
Rebounds - Defensive 35.5 40.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 13.7
Turnovers 13.3 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.9 5.3
Steals 6.5 7.7
Fouls 17.8 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS SAC
Total Possessions 105.1
Effective Scoring Chances 100.6 107.0
% of Possessions with WAS SAC
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 30.0%
Player Fouled 16.8% 16.9%
Turnover 12.6% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS SAC
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 17.9% 27.8%