NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS DAL
Points 112.4 124.2
Total Points   236.6
Points From 2-Pointers 58.6 66.1
Points From 3-Pointers 37.7 38.7
Points From Free Throws 16.0 19.5
Shooting WAS DAL
Field Goals Made 41.9 45.9
Field Goals Attempted 91.7 90.4
Field Goal % 45.7% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 33.0
2 Pointers Attempted 56.0 54.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 60.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 35.7 36.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 16.0 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 25.9
Free Throw % 76.8% 75.4%
Ball Control WAS DAL
Rebounds 46.5 53.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 41.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 11.8
Turnovers 12.7 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 6.2
Steals 6.7 6.6
Fouls 19.7 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS DAL
Total Possessions 105.5
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 105.7
% of Possessions with WAS DAL
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 30.3%
Player Fouled 15.4% 18.7%
Turnover 12.0% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS DAL
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 24.6%