NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS DAL
Points 112.9 124.8
Total Points   237.7
Points From 2-Pointers 59.1 66.8
Points From 3-Pointers 37.7 38.8
Points From Free Throws 16.0 19.2
Shooting WAS DAL
Field Goals Made 42.1 46.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.7 90.8
Field Goal % 46.0% 51.0%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 33.4
2 Pointers Attempted 56.0 54.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 61.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 35.7 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 16.0 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 25.4
Free Throw % 76.8% 75.6%
Ball Control WAS DAL
Rebounds 46.3 53.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 41.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 11.8
Turnovers 12.7 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 6.1
Steals 6.7 6.6
Fouls 19.7 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS DAL
Total Possessions 105.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 105.9
% of Possessions with WAS DAL
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 30.5%
Player Fouled 15.3% 18.7%
Turnover 12.0% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS DAL
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 24.6%