NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS BK
Points 112.2 118.0
Total Points   230.3
Points From 2-Pointers 60.4 63.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.2 36.5
Points From Free Throws 15.6 18.1
Shooting WAS BK
Field Goals Made 42.3 43.9
Field Goals Attempted 90.4 91.5
Field Goal % 46.8% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 30.2 31.8
2 Pointers Attempted 56.3 56.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.1 34.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 15.6 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 23.6
Free Throw % 76.3% 76.5%
Ball Control WAS BK
Rebounds 46.9 53.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 39.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 14.0
Turnovers 12.4 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.5 5.8
Steals 6.1 6.7
Fouls 17.4 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS BK
Total Possessions 103.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.8 105.6
% of Possessions with WAS BK
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 29.1%
Player Fouled 15.5% 16.7%
Turnover 12.0% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS BK
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 27.8%