NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS BK
Points 112.7 117.8
Total Points   230.5
Points From 2-Pointers 59.7 63.1
Points From 3-Pointers 37.5 36.0
Points From Free Throws 15.5 18.6
Shooting WAS BK
Field Goals Made 42.4 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 90.5 91.1
Field Goal % 46.8% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 29.9 31.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.2 56.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 35.3 34.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 15.5 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 24.5
Free Throw % 76.8% 76.0%
Ball Control WAS BK
Rebounds 46.4 54.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 40.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 14.1
Turnovers 12.1 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.7 6.1
Steals 6.1 6.6
Fouls 17.8 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS BK
Total Possessions 103.6
Effective Scoring Chances 101.5 105.6
% of Possessions with WAS BK
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 28.8%
Player Fouled 15.7% 17.2%
Turnover 11.7% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS BK
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 27.8%