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Washington at Denver
Thu Feb 25, 2021
9:00pm ET
Denver, CO
Washington at Denver: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Denver by 8, Total Points: 237.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WAS | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-43-3 | 38-42-2 | |
| vs Division | 9-6-1 | 6-10-0 | |
| vs Conference | 23-26-3 | 22-29-1 | |
| Streak | P1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-4-2 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 14-26-1 | 21-19-1 | |
| Away | 22-17-2 | 17-23-1 |
Washington Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Indiana | +4.5 | L by 23 | -18.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Memphis | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Boston | +10.5 | L by 19 | -8.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Atlanta | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 11/03 | Away | Miami | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 11/06 | Away | Philadelphia | +11.0 | L by 18 | -7.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | Charlotte | +2.5 | W by 16 | +18.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Charlotte | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | Brooklyn | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/13 | Away | Toronto | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Dallas | +4.0 | L by 13 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | New York | +7.0 | L by 21 | -14.0 |
| 11/20 | Home | Milwaukee | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Charlotte | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Milwaukee | +13.5 | L by 3 | +10.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Atlanta | +8.5 | L by 28 | -19.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | Detroit | +2.0 | W by 19 | +21.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Orlando | +10.0 | L by 19 | -9.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Orlando | +10.0 | L by 5 | +5.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Philadelphia | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Brooklyn | +9.0 | L by 27 | -18.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Philadelphia | +13.5 | L by 45 | -31.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | New Orleans | +6.5 | L by 20 | -13.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Indiana | +8.0 | W by 14 | +22.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Phoenix | +13.0 | L by 4 | +9.0 |
| 12/18 | Away | Sacramento | +14.0 | L by 12 | +2.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Portland | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Golden State | +10.5 | L by 11 | -0.5 |
| 12/26 | Home | Orlando | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Toronto | +7.0 | L by 30 | -23.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Brooklyn | +6.0 | W by 6 | +12.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Atlanta | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Cleveland | +9.0 | L by 39 | -30.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Cleveland | +10.5 | L by 24 | -13.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | New York | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Okla City | +11.0 | L by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Indiana | +8.0 | L by 8 | 0.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Atlanta | +8.0 | W by 28 | +36.0 |
| 01/15 | Home | Detroit | -6.0 | L by 12 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | New York | +12.0 | L by 4 | +8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | San Antonio | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Denver | +12.5 | L by 9 | +3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Minnesota | +10.5 | L by 11 | -0.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Utah | +7.0 | L by 15 | -8.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Detroit | +3.5 | W by 14 | +17.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | San Antonio | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | LA Clippers | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Miami | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Phoenix | +11.0 | L by 28 | -17.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Cleveland | +11.5 | L by 8 | +3.5 |
| 02/09 | Away | Boston | +18.0 | L by 4 | +14.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Philadelphia | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | Dallas | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | New Orleans | +14.5 | L by 7 | +7.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Denver | +15.5 | L by 20 | -4.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | Okla City | +16.0 | L by 41 | -25.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Cleveland | +13.5 | L by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Golden State | +10.5 | L by 11 | -0.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | LA Lakers | +10.5 | L by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | LA Clippers | +15.5 | L by 25 | -9.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | Utah | +5.0 | L by 12 | -7.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Orlando | +7.0 | L by 10 | -3.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Charlotte | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Miami | +11.5 | W by 2 | +13.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | Memphis | -2.0 | L by 12 | -14.0 |
| 03/14 | Away | Houston | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Chicago | +9.5 | L by 29 | -19.5 |
| 03/17 | Home | Boston | +14.5 | L by 26 | -11.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | Houston | +10.0 | L by 23 | -13.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | Sacramento | +11.0 | W by 7 | +18.0 |
| 03/23 | Home | Toronto | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 03/25 | Away | Chicago | +13.0 | W by 2 | +15.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Brooklyn | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Detroit | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 03/31 | Home | Miami | +12.0 | L by 12 | 0.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | Milwaukee | +13.0 | W by 4 | +17.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | LA Lakers | +13.0 | L by 5 | +8.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Portland | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Toronto | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Minnesota | +18.0 | L by 9 | +9.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Chicago | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Boston | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
Denver Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 12 | +7.0 |
| 10/27 | Away | Memphis | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Okla City | -3.5 | W by 33 | +29.5 |
| 10/30 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Minnesota | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Dallas | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Chicago | -9.0 | W by 22 | +13.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | New Orleans | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Golden State | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Houston | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | New Orleans | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Cleveland | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Orlando | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | L by 19 | -22.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 12 | +1.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | LA Clippers | +11.0 | W by 9 | +20.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Houston | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Phoenix | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Sacramento | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | LA Clippers | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | L by 8 | -17.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | Chicago | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Okla City | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Dallas | -8.0 | W by 26 | +18.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Toronto | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Charlotte | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Golden State | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | Memphis | -9.0 | W by 37 | +28.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Okla City | -2.0 | L by 26 | -28.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Charlotte | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Golden State | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Orlando | -10.0 | L by 2 | -12.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Detroit | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Utah | -7.0 | L by 13 | -20.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Boston | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Washington | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Indiana | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | New York | -2.5 | L by 38 | -40.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Okla City | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Portland | -14.5 | W by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Portland | -15.0 | W by 9 | -6.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | Sacramento | +3.0 | L by 29 | -26.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Milwaukee | +1.0 | L by 17 | -16.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Sacramento | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Washington | -15.5 | W by 20 | +4.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | Portland | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Sacramento | -9.0 | W by 21 | +12.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Miami | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 10 | +9.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Phoenix | -8.5 | L by 10 | -18.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Boston | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Utah | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 03/11 | Home | Toronto | -17.0 | W by 6 | -11.0 |
| 03/13 | Away | Miami | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | New York | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | W by 25 | +12.5 |
| 03/27 | Home | Phoenix | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Cleveland | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | San Antonio | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 04/04 | Away | LA Clippers | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 04/06 | Home | Atlanta | -10.5 | W by 32 | +21.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Utah | -15.5 | W by 16 | +0.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | San Antonio | -11.5 | L by 1 | -12.5 |
| 04/14 | Away | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| DEN -8.0 | Open | -7.0 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -7.5 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 814 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7.5 to 9.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Denver won the game 613 times (75.3%).
- The team like Washington won the game 201 times (24.7%).
- The team like Denver did better against the spread, going 403-403-8 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 51 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Washington did better against the spread, going 31-20 (60.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.0 | -8.0 | -8.0 |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -7.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/25 09:08 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 08:59 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 08:44 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 02/25 08:41 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 08:38 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 08:29 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 08:17 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 08:15 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 02/25 08:14 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 02/25 07:59 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 07:56 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 07:54 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 02/25 07:44 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 05:38 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 05:19 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 01:50 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 02/25 10:05 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 10:04 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 02/25 09:59 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 09:41 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 09:38 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 09:26 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 05:08 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 02:43 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 12:05 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 02/24 10:35 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 04:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 02/24 03:53 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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