NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS DEN
Points 109.1 123.4
Total Points   232.5
Points From 2-Pointers 60.8 74.9
Points From 3-Pointers 32.3 31.0
Points From Free Throws 16.0 17.5
Shooting WAS DEN
Field Goals Made 41.2 47.8
Field Goals Attempted 91.0 91.3
Field Goal % 45.2% 52.4%
2 Pointers Made 30.4 37.5
2 Pointers Attempted 59.4 62.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 59.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 31.7 28.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 16.0 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 22.6
Free Throw % 76.3% 77.2%
Ball Control WAS DEN
Rebounds 44.0 53.9
Rebounds - Defensive 32.8 40.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 13.2
Turnovers 11.5 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.7 6.5
Steals 6.4 6.7
Fouls 17.0 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS DEN
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 104.6
% of Possessions with WAS DEN
2 Point Attempt 50.9% 53.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 24.3%
Player Fouled 15.0% 16.6%
Turnover 11.2% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS DEN
Shot Blocked 7.3% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 28.7%