NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS IND
Points 117.7 130.9
Total Points   248.6
Points From 2-Pointers 68.6 78.0
Points From 3-Pointers 30.2 34.5
Points From Free Throws 19.0 18.4
Shooting WAS IND
Field Goals Made 44.3 50.5
Field Goals Attempted 91.1 93.8
Field Goal % 48.7% 53.8%
2 Pointers Made 34.3 39.0
2 Pointers Attempted 61.7 61.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 63.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 29.4 32.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 19.0 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 23.7
Free Throw % 76.8% 77.6%
Ball Control WAS IND
Rebounds 44.4 50.8
Rebounds - Defensive 33.9 38.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 12.1
Turnovers 12.9 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.8 7.2
Steals 5.8 7.2
Fouls 18.0 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS IND
Total Possessions 106.9
Effective Scoring Chances 104.6 107.5
% of Possessions with WAS IND
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 51.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 26.5%
Player Fouled 17.5% 16.8%
Turnover 12.1% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS IND
Shot Blocked 7.8% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 26.3%