NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS NO
Points 109.3 123.0
Total Points   232.3
Points From 2-Pointers 55.8 70.2
Points From 3-Pointers 38.4 33.1
Points From Free Throws 15.1 19.6
Shooting WAS NO
Field Goals Made 40.7 46.2
Field Goals Attempted 89.4 89.4
Field Goal % 45.5% 51.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 35.1
2 Pointers Attempted 50.7 59.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 59.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 38.7 30.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 15.1 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 25.5
Free Throw % 76.3% 76.9%
Ball Control WAS NO
Rebounds 43.7 53.2
Rebounds - Defensive 33.5 40.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 12.7
Turnovers 13.3 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.0 5.6
Steals 6.0 7.7
Fouls 17.5 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS NO
Total Possessions 103.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.6 104.3
% of Possessions with WAS NO
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 25.7%
Player Fouled 15.4% 16.9%
Turnover 12.8% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS NO
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 27.4%