NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS NO
Points 110.0 122.5
Total Points   232.5
Points From 2-Pointers 56.0 69.5
Points From 3-Pointers 38.9 33.4
Points From Free Throws 15.1 19.6
Shooting WAS NO
Field Goals Made 41.0 45.9
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 89.5
Field Goal % 46.2% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 34.7
2 Pointers Attempted 49.9 59.0
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 58.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 38.7 30.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 15.1 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 25.4
Free Throw % 76.8% 77.4%
Ball Control WAS NO
Rebounds 43.3 52.8
Rebounds - Defensive 33.9 40.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 12.6
Turnovers 13.4 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.8 5.6
Steals 5.9 8.0
Fouls 17.6 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS NO
Total Possessions 103.6
Effective Scoring Chances 99.6 104.4
% of Possessions with WAS NO
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.6% 25.8%
Player Fouled 15.6% 17.0%
Turnover 12.9% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS NO
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.0% 27.1%