NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS TOR
Points 120.7 120.9
Total Points   241.5
Points From 2-Pointers 66.4 70.6
Points From 3-Pointers 39.4 31.3
Points From Free Throws 14.9 19.0
Shooting WAS TOR
Field Goals Made 46.3 45.7
Field Goals Attempted 92.7 91.9
Field Goal % 50.0% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 33.2 35.3
2 Pointers Attempted 55.9 60.8
2 Point Shooting % 59.4% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.8 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 14.9 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 24.8
Free Throw % 76.8% 76.6%
Ball Control WAS TOR
Rebounds 46.8 50.5
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 13.0
Turnovers 13.2 12.8
Blocked Shots 5.8 5.5
Steals 6.6 7.6
Fouls 17.5 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS TOR
Total Possessions 106.0
Effective Scoring Chances 103.7 106.2
% of Possessions with WAS TOR
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 25.6%
Player Fouled 15.4% 16.5%
Turnover 12.4% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS TOR
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 26.6%