NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS TOR
Points 120.3 120.5
Total Points   240.8
Points From 2-Pointers 66.1 70.3
Points From 3-Pointers 39.3 31.3
Points From Free Throws 14.9 18.9
Shooting WAS TOR
Field Goals Made 46.2 45.6
Field Goals Attempted 92.6 91.9
Field Goal % 49.9% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 33.1 35.1
2 Pointers Attempted 55.8 60.8
2 Point Shooting % 59.3% 57.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.8 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 14.9 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 24.7
Free Throw % 76.8% 76.6%
Ball Control WAS TOR
Rebounds 46.9 50.6
Rebounds - Defensive 36.0 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 13.1
Turnovers 13.2 12.8
Blocked Shots 5.8 5.5
Steals 6.6 7.6
Fouls 17.5 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS TOR
Total Possessions 105.9
Effective Scoring Chances 103.6 106.2
% of Possessions with WAS TOR
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 25.7%
Player Fouled 15.4% 16.6%
Turnover 12.4% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS TOR
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 26.6%