NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS HOU
Points 114.6 122.8
Total Points   237.4
Points From 2-Pointers 60.7 66.9
Points From 3-Pointers 35.5 35.1
Points From Free Throws 18.5 20.9
Shooting WAS HOU
Field Goals Made 42.1 45.1
Field Goals Attempted 89.6 93.3
Field Goal % 47.0% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 33.4
2 Pointers Attempted 53.9 58.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 35.7 34.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 18.5 20.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 27.2
Free Throw % 76.8% 76.8%
Ball Control WAS HOU
Rebounds 46.9 54.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.7 39.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 14.6
Turnovers 13.0 11.4
Blocked Shots 5.3 5.7
Steals 6.5 7.6
Fouls 19.0 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS HOU
Total Possessions 105.9
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 109.1
% of Possessions with WAS HOU
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 28.0%
Player Fouled 17.2% 17.9%
Turnover 12.2% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS HOU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 28.5%