NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS SA
Points 114.5 120.7
Total Points   235.2
Points From 2-Pointers 64.5 68.4
Points From 3-Pointers 35.4 34.7
Points From Free Throws 14.6 17.6
Shooting WAS SA
Field Goals Made 44.1 45.8
Field Goals Attempted 94.4 92.3
Field Goal % 46.7% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 32.3 34.2
2 Pointers Attempted 60.5 58.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 58.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 33.9 33.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 14.6 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 22.7
Free Throw % 76.8% 77.6%
Ball Control WAS SA
Rebounds 46.2 54.6
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 41.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 12.8
Turnovers 12.5 13.7
Blocked Shots 4.5 7.5
Steals 8.0 6.9
Fouls 17.2 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS SA
Total Possessions 106.7
Effective Scoring Chances 104.2 105.8
% of Possessions with WAS SA
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 27.9%
Player Fouled 14.0% 16.1%
Turnover 11.7% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS SA
Shot Blocked 8.2% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 19.3% 26.1%