NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS PHO
Points 111.1 123.5
Total Points   234.6
Points From 2-Pointers 57.4 69.4
Points From 3-Pointers 38.5 33.5
Points From Free Throws 15.2 20.6
Shooting WAS PHO
Field Goals Made 41.5 45.9
Field Goals Attempted 93.8 87.9
Field Goal % 44.3% 52.2%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 34.7
2 Pointers Attempted 56.6 57.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 60.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 37.3 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 15.2 20.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 25.9
Free Throw % 76.3% 79.6%
Ball Control WAS PHO
Rebounds 43.5 55.3
Rebounds - Defensive 32.2 42.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 12.5
Turnovers 11.5 13.9
Blocked Shots 4.5 6.7
Steals 7.8 6.7
Fouls 18.6 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS PHO
Total Possessions 104.8
Effective Scoring Chances 104.6 103.4
% of Possessions with WAS PHO
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 25.3%
Player Fouled 14.6% 17.8%
Turnover 11.0% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS PHO
Shot Blocked 7.7% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 28.0%