NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS OKC
Points 110.7 128.2
Total Points   239.0
Points From 2-Pointers 54.8 72.1
Points From 3-Pointers 39.2 36.3
Points From Free Throws 16.8 19.8
Shooting WAS OKC
Field Goals Made 40.4 48.2
Field Goals Attempted 91.4 91.5
Field Goal % 44.3% 52.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 36.1
2 Pointers Attempted 54.4 59.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 60.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 37.0 32.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 16.8 19.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 23.9
Free Throw % 76.3% 82.8%
Ball Control WAS OKC
Rebounds 46.2 51.8
Rebounds - Defensive 34.3 41.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 10.8
Turnovers 14.6 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.8 7.7
Steals 6.5 7.8
Fouls 18.4 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS OKC
Total Possessions 106.1
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 105.2
% of Possessions with WAS OKC
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 26.9%
Player Fouled 15.3% 17.4%
Turnover 13.7% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS OKC
Shot Blocked 8.6% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 24.0%