NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS MIN
Points 104.5 120.1
Total Points   224.7
Points From 2-Pointers 55.5 65.5
Points From 3-Pointers 32.7 35.0
Points From Free Throws 16.3 19.6
Shooting WAS MIN
Field Goals Made 38.7 44.4
Field Goals Attempted 89.3 87.6
Field Goal % 43.3% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 32.7
2 Pointers Attempted 57.1 56.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 32.2 30.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 16.3 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 25.3
Free Throw % 76.3% 77.4%
Ball Control WAS MIN
Rebounds 44.7 54.0
Rebounds - Defensive 34.1 42.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 12.0
Turnovers 13.3 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.5 7.0
Steals 6.9 7.3
Fouls 18.9 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS MIN
Total Possessions 103.6
Effective Scoring Chances 101.0 102.5
% of Possessions with WAS MIN
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 26.3%
Player Fouled 15.7% 18.2%
Turnover 12.8% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS MIN
Shot Blocked 8.1% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 26.0%