ATS Situational Trends

Record BUF adv MIA
Season 8-11-0 10-8-0
vs Division 3-3-0 4-2-0
vs Conference 6-8-0 6-7-0
Streak L1 L3
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 5-5-0 4-6-0
Home 5-5-0 6-3-0
Away 3-6-0 4-5-0

Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/11 Away NY Jets -2.5 L by 6 -8.5
09/17 Home Las Vegas -7.5 W by 28 +20.5
09/24 Away Washington -5.0 W by 34 +29.0
10/01 Home Miami -3.0 W by 28 +25.0
10/08 Neutral Jacksonville -5.0 L by 5 -10.0
10/15 Home NY Giants -15.0 W by 5 -10.0
10/22 Away New England -7.5 L by 4 -11.5
10/26 Home Tampa Bay -10.0 W by 6 -4.0
11/05 Away Cincinnati +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
11/13 Home Denver -7.5 L by 2 -9.5
11/19 Home NY Jets -8.5 W by 26 +17.5
11/26 Away Philadelphia +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
12/10 Away Kansas City +2.0 W by 3 +5.0
12/17 Home Dallas -2.5 W by 21 +18.5
12/23 Away LA Chargers -13.0 W by 2 -11.0
12/31 Home New England -15.0 W by 6 -9.0
01/07 Away Miami -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
01/15 Home Pittsburgh -10.0 W by 14 +4.0
01/21 Home Kansas City -2.5 L by 3 -5.5

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/10 Away LA Chargers +3.0 W by 2 +5.0
09/17 Away New England -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
09/24 Home Denver -6.0 W by 50 +44.0
10/01 Away Buffalo +3.0 L by 28 -25.0
10/08 Home NY Giants -12.5 W by 15 +2.5
10/15 Home Carolina -14.0 W by 21 +7.0
10/22 Away Philadelphia +3.0 L by 14 -11.0
10/29 Home New England -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
11/05 Neutral Kansas City +1.0 L by 7 -6.0
11/19 Home Las Vegas -14.0 W by 7 -7.0
11/24 Away NY Jets -9.5 W by 21 +11.5
12/03 Away Washington -9.0 W by 30 +21.0
12/11 Home Tennessee -13.5 L by 1 -14.5
12/17 Home NY Jets -7.0 W by 30 +23.0
12/24 Home Dallas -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
12/31 Away Baltimore +3.0 L by 37 -34.0
01/07 Home Buffalo +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/13 Away Kansas City +4.5 L by 19 -14.5
BUF -4.0 Open -3.5 High -6.0
Last -4.5 Low -3.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2017 NFL season there have been 191 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Buffalo won the game 105 times (55.0%).
  • The team like Miami won the game 84 times (44.0%).
  • The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 100-83-8 (54.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.6 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2019 NFL season there have been 236 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 126-105-5 (54.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -4.0 -4.5 --
Open -4.0 -4.5 --
History
09/25 12:59 PM -4.0 -- --
09/25 12:28 PM -4.0 -- --
09/25 11:49 AM -4.0 -- --
09/25 11:34 AM -- -4.5 --
09/25 11:24 AM -- -4.0 --
09/25 11:05 AM -4.0 -- --
09/25 10:54 AM -- -4.0 --
09/25 10:49 AM -4.0 -- --
09/25 10:26 AM -4.5 -- --
09/25 09:52 AM -4.5 -- --
09/25 09:34 AM -- -4.5 --
09/25 09:28 AM -4.5 -- --
09/25 08:34 AM -- -4.5 --
09/25 08:22 AM -4.5 -- --
09/25 07:37 AM -5.5 -- --
09/25 06:59 AM -4.0 -- --
09/25 05:01 AM -4.0 -- --
09/25 01:35 AM -4.0 -- --
09/24 09:41 PM -4.0 -- --
09/24 08:14 PM -- -4.5 --
09/24 07:35 PM -4.0 -- --
09/24 10:14 AM -4.0 -- --
09/24 08:58 AM -5.5 -- --
09/24 05:16 AM -5.5 -- --
09/23 10:31 PM -5.5 -- --
09/23 02:29 PM -5.5 -- --
09/23 12:58 PM -5.5 -- --
09/23 12:34 PM -- -5.0 --
09/23 12:22 PM -5.5 -- --
09/23 11:53 AM -5.5 -- --
09/23 11:28 AM -5.5 -- --
09/23 02:04 AM -- -5.5 --
09/23 01:55 AM -- -5.5 --
09/23 12:01 AM -5.5 -- --
09/22 06:43 PM -5.5 -- --
09/22 03:45 PM -- -5.5 --
09/22 01:34 PM -- -5.5 --
09/22 01:25 PM -- -5.5 --
09/22 01:22 PM -6.0 -- --
09/22 09:46 AM -6.0 -- --
09/22 05:54 AM -- -6.0 --
09/21 09:26 PM -5.5 -- --
09/21 08:05 PM -- -6.0 --
09/21 06:24 PM -- -6.0 --
09/21 01:31 PM -5.5 -- --
09/21 12:54 PM -- -6.0 --
09/21 12:19 PM -5.5 -- --
09/21 11:10 AM -5.5 -- --
09/21 01:15 AM -- -5.5 --
09/20 11:37 PM -6.0 -- --
09/20 09:15 PM -- -5.5 --
09/20 08:54 PM -- -5.5 --
09/20 08:34 PM -- -5.5 --
09/20 08:23 PM -6.0 -- --
09/20 03:04 PM -- -5.5 --
09/20 02:24 PM -- -5.5 --
09/20 01:54 PM -- -5.5 --
09/20 12:34 PM -- -5.5 --
09/20 11:54 AM -- -5.5 --
09/20 11:26 AM -6.0 -- --
09/20 10:41 AM -6.0 -- --
09/20 10:06 AM -- -5.5 --
09/20 09:59 AM -6.0 -- --
09/20 07:14 AM -6.0 -- --
09/20 04:29 AM -6.0 -- --
09/20 12:44 AM -6.0 -- --
09/19 11:58 PM -6.0 -- --
09/19 10:40 PM -5.5 -- --
09/19 09:58 PM -4.0 -- --
09/19 03:14 PM -- -4.0 --
09/13 05:54 PM -- -4.5 --