Buffalo (Away) Miami (Home)
Win Odds 61.7% 38.3%
Spread -4.0 +4.0
Cover Odds 51.8% 48.2%
Proj Score 23.2 19.5

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
09/25/22 Buffalo 42.2 39.6 +27.5 61.7% 38.3% Miami 38.6 31.6 +8.5
 
Team Like Buffalo Team Like Miami
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 23.5 09/18/06 Pittsburgh 43.2 35.9 +11.0 0 9 Jacksonville 34.5 29.1 +7.0
2 25.9 09/27/10 Green Bay 40.7 36.7 +17.0 17 20 Chicago 31.5 28.3 +6.0
3 30.4 09/24/17 Atlanta 38.7 33.0 +8.5 30 26 Detroit 29.6 25.9 +13.0
4 30.9 10/05/03 Minnesota 28.7 30.6 +13.5 39 26 Atlanta 26.2 23.9 -7.3
5 31.5 09/14/20 Tennessee 35.7 32.5 +5.9 16 14 Denver 27.4 24.3 -1.9
6 32.1 10/09/05 Philadelphia 38.1 31.4 +11.0 10 33 Dallas 27.7 25.2 0.0
7 32.3 09/25/11 Green Bay 41.6 34.5 +7.5 27 17 Chicago 31.6 28.7 +0.5
8 32.6 09/08/13 Seattle 35.4 34.5 +20.1 12 7 Carolina 29.2 29.2 +6.7
9 33.1 10/14/18 Baltimore 34.6 31.7 +11.0 21 0 Tennessee 29.3 25.1 +0.2
10 33.5 09/19/21 Buffalo 31.2 28.9 -7.0 35 0 Miami 32.9 26.8 +1.0
11 34.0 10/01/17 Jacksonville 28.1 30.7 +12.7 20 23 NY Jets 20.8 21.3 -6.7
12 34.1 09/13/18 Baltimore 31.2 32.6 +44.0 23 34 Cincinnati 25.7 24.6 +11.0
13 34.2 09/24/06 Carolina 27.3 27.4 -8.5 26 24 Tampa Bay 20.2 21.0 -19.0
14 34.4 09/18/22 Tampa Bay 36.6 34.1 +16.0 20 10 New Orleans 27.8 24.7 +1.0
15 34.6 09/18/11 Houston 25.5 29.4 +27.0 23 13 Miami 24.8 25.1 -14.0
16 34.8 09/18/05 Kansas City 32.5 32.2 +20.0 23 17 Las Vegas 21.5 23.9 -10.0
17 34.9 09/09/12 New England 35.4 32.9 +12.9 34 13 Tennessee 23.0 23.7 -0.9
18 35.6 10/22/07 Indianapolis 49.4 37.5 +15.2 29 7 Jacksonville 39.6 33.3 +8.4
19 35.6 09/14/14 Seattle 45.2 38.7 +20.0 21 30 LA Chargers 31.3 31.2 -1.0
20 35.7 09/12/10 Green Bay 30.2 31.4 +14.1 27 20 Philadelphia 29.6 27.9 +1.4
21 35.8 09/07/14 New England 32.0 29.9 +8.4 20 33 Miami 24.6 23.7 -0.3
22 35.9 09/11/22 Kansas City 35.4 33.3 +8.1 44 21 Arizona 22.7 23.6 -6.9
23 36.4 10/03/04 Indianapolis 40.5 35.4 +8.3 24 17 Jacksonville 34.8 27.1 +2.3
24 36.5 10/18/15 Arizona 32.2 34.9 +20.0 13 25 Pittsburgh 29.3 28.9 +5.0
25 36.8 10/03/10 Houston 23.2 22.8 -0.3 31 24 Las Vegas 19.6 19.4 -8.0
26 36.9 10/08/20 Tampa Bay 32.9 30.8 +7.0 19 20 Chicago 21.5 22.2 +1.0
27 37.1 10/31/21 Tampa Bay 39.8 33.3 +12.3 27 36 New Orleans 26.5 27.0 +6.5
28 37.1 09/19/10 Houston 35.4 30.6 +10.0 30 27 Washington 23.3 24.9 +6.0
29 37.5 09/26/04 Philadelphia 34.3 31.4 +12.5 30 13 Detroit 33.3 28.5 +8.0
30 37.6 09/23/07 Indianapolis 42.7 34.2 +16.5 30 24 Houston 34.9 31.2 +15.0
31 37.6 10/19/20 Kansas City 36.5 32.6 +7.8 26 17 Buffalo 35.4 26.0 -0.6
32 37.6 09/28/03 Kansas City 47.5 41.0 +20.7 17 10 Baltimore 33.1 31.3 +5.0
33 38.0 09/16/07 Indianapolis 41.7 36.8 +31.0 22 20 Tennessee 35.9 30.9 +3.0
34 38.2 09/19/21 New Orleans 41.2 38.0 +35.0 7 26 Carolina 25.5 24.3 +5.0
35 38.2 09/20/09 New England 34.3 29.2 +1.0 9 16 NY Jets 30.0 28.9 +17.0
36 38.2 09/12/04 Baltimore 26.2 28.3 +12.3 3 20 Cleveland 16.9 21.3 -4.6
37 38.5 10/05/17 New England 36.3 31.8 +0.3 19 14 Tampa Bay 24.9 23.1 +2.3
38 39.0 10/04/20 New Orleans 28.9 28.3 -2.0 35 29 Detroit 27.8 23.8 -7.3
39 39.2 09/14/03 Denver 28.9 30.3 +20.0 37 13 LA Chargers 17.5 21.7 -13.0
40 39.3 10/06/13 Carolina 26.9 30.0 +10.7 6 22 Arizona 24.8 22.9 -5.0
41 39.4 09/09/18 Jacksonville 29.4 28.8 +4.9 20 15 NY Giants 18.4 20.2 -7.7
42 39.4 10/28/12 NY Giants 34.1 33.2 +9.7 29 24 Dallas 27.6 26.6 -3.3
43 39.4 09/26/21 Tampa Bay 41.5 34.6 +12.5 24 34 LA Rams 32.3 29.6 +11.5
44 39.5 09/15/13 Carolina 25.4 28.4 -5.0 23 24 Buffalo 20.5 23.1 -2.0
45 39.7 09/30/12 New England 34.2 32.8 +6.0 52 28 Buffalo 28.6 27.2 +2.7
46 39.9 10/22/17 New Orleans 37.5 33.1 +5.8 26 17 Green Bay 28.7 26.2 +2.0
47 40.3 09/21/14 Dallas 24.6 26.3 +2.5 34 31 LA Rams 18.4 17.6 -13.0
48 40.3 10/05/08 LA Chargers 30.7 31.4 +6.5 10 17 Miami 25.4 24.7 -0.7
49 40.3 09/16/18 New England 33.9 29.8 +7.0 20 31 Jacksonville 28.1 26.7 +5.0
50 40.3 09/19/19 Tennessee 27.3 30.3 +14.0 7 20 Jacksonville 14.3 21.9 -7.5
51 40.5 10/16/16 Philadelphia 31.7 35.1 +16.0 20 27 Washington 31.0 26.1 -1.4
52 40.8 09/17/17 Dallas 35.3 32.2 +16.0 17 42 Denver 29.7 26.7 +3.0
53 41.1 09/22/13 Green Bay 28.7 28.8 +6.0 30 34 Cincinnati 26.9 26.8 +3.5
54 41.2 09/30/18 Philadelphia 32.6 29.4 +1.3 23 26 Tennessee 28.0 23.8 -0.3
55 41.2 09/26/10 Pittsburgh 40.0 33.2 +7.0 38 13 Tampa Bay 29.3 26.8 +8.0
56 41.3 09/25/05 Carolina 29.6 29.3 +3.5 24 27 Miami 24.2 25.2 +7.0
57 41.3 09/16/12 New Orleans 27.0 27.8 -8.0 27 35 Carolina 14.2 19.1 -6.0
58 41.4 09/15/19 Kansas City 35.9 33.6 +14.0 28 10 Las Vegas 23.6 22.9 +8.0
59 41.4 09/21/03 Pittsburgh 29.7 27.5 -1.0 17 10 Cincinnati 14.0 20.9 -11.5
60 41.8 09/09/07 New England 39.6 35.3 +7.4 38 14 NY Jets 31.3 28.8 +5.7
61 41.8 09/15/13 New Orleans 30.1 29.0 +6.0 16 14 Tampa Bay 19.0 24.2 -1.0
62 41.9 09/07/08 Jacksonville 31.8 30.5 +7.1 10 17 Tennessee 28.3 26.8 -2.7
63 41.9 10/14/12 New England 33.5 32.6 +10.4 23 24 Seattle 30.3 28.4 +3.2
64 42.0 10/17/10 Indianapolis 32.0 30.4 +7.0 27 24 Washington 24.9 24.4 -0.6
65 42.0 10/24/10 Pittsburgh 38.5 34.9 +10.8 23 22 Miami 31.3 25.6 -4.6
66 42.1 09/26/05 Kansas City 34.0 33.2 +13.0 10 30 Denver 26.3 24.6 -10.5
67 42.3 09/29/19 Dallas 35.7 29.7 +17.7 10 12 New Orleans 37.7 28.1 -3.3
68 42.4 09/30/12 LA Chargers 30.8 26.9 +4.0 37 20 Kansas City 17.4 18.1 -10.3
69 42.5 09/21/20 New Orleans 34.7 32.6 +11.0 24 34 Las Vegas 22.0 21.5 +4.0
70 42.5 09/18/11 Philadelphia 29.7 29.9 +18.0 31 35 Atlanta 26.3 24.3 -18.0
71 42.6 10/12/03 Tampa Bay 38.3 34.5 +8.0 35 13 Washington 26.9 24.8 +0.6
72 43.0 09/07/14 Cincinnati 27.4 27.5 +8.6 23 16 Baltimore 21.5 21.3 -4.4
73 43.0 09/11/11 Philadelphia 26.5 27.2 -0.1 31 13 LA Rams 17.3 19.4 -5.0
74 43.0 10/25/20 Kansas City 39.7 33.0 +8.0 43 16 Denver 31.9 27.5 -2.0
75 43.1 10/17/13 Seattle 34.2 31.0 +10.5 34 22 Arizona 26.0 25.5 -2.7