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Cleveland at Cincinnati
Sun Dec 11, 2022
1:00pm ET
Cincinnati, OH
Cleveland at Cincinnati: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Cincinnati by 4, Total Points: 47
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CLE | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-7-1 | 7-8-2 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-6-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 8-1-0 | 4-3-2 | |
| Away | 2-6-1 | 3-5-0 |
Cleveland Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Home | Cincinnati | (Pick) | W by 21 | +21.0 |
| 09/18 | Away | Pittsburgh | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 09/24 | Home | Tennessee | -3.5 | W by 24 | +20.5 |
| 10/01 | Home | Baltimore | +1.5 | L by 25 | -23.5 |
| 10/15 | Home | San Francisco | +8.5 | W by 2 | +10.5 |
| 10/22 | Away | Indianapolis | -3.5 | W by 1 | -2.5 |
| 10/29 | Away | Seattle | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 11/05 | Home | Arizona | -13.0 | W by 27 | +14.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | Baltimore | +6.0 | W by 2 | +8.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Pittsburgh | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | Denver | +1.0 | L by 17 | -16.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | LA Rams | +3.5 | L by 17 | -13.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Jacksonville | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Chicago | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 12/24 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | NY Jets | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Cincinnati | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Houston | -2.0 | L by 31 | -33.0 |
Cincinnati Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Away | Cleveland | (Pick) | L by 21 | -21.0 |
| 09/17 | Home | Baltimore | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 09/25 | Home | LA Rams | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 10/01 | Away | Tennessee | -2.5 | L by 24 | -26.5 |
| 10/08 | Away | Arizona | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 10/15 | Home | Seattle | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | San Francisco | +4.5 | W by 14 | +18.5 |
| 11/05 | Home | Buffalo | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Houston | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 11/16 | Away | Baltimore | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | Pittsburgh | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 12/04 | Away | Jacksonville | +10.0 | W by 3 | +13.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Indianapolis | -3.0 | W by 20 | +17.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Minnesota | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Pittsburgh | -3.0 | L by 23 | -26.0 |
| 12/31 | Away | Kansas City | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Cleveland | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| CIN -4.0 | Open | -1.5 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017 NFL season there have been 315 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Cincinnati won the game 183 times (58.1%).
- The team like Cleveland won the game 132 times (41.9%).
- The team like Cleveland did better against the spread, going 164-135-16 (54.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019 NFL season there have been 287 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Cincinnati did better against the spread, going 153-129-5 (54.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.0 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/11 01:05 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/11 01:01 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:59 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/11 12:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/11 12:11 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 03:25 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/11 03:16 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 02:05 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/11 01:13 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 09:54 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/10 09:52 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 08:46 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 08:16 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 05:32 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 04:53 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 01:50 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 03:49 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 01:19 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:34 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/08 09:54 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/08 05:28 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 02:54 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/08 02:52 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:04 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/08 11:49 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:07 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 03:14 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 10:05 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/07 09:35 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 04:11 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 07:14 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/06 06:50 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 04:24 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/06 11:31 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 07:13 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:22 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 06:10 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 02:28 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:28 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:24 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/05 11:13 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 10:28 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 09:54 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/05 09:24 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 12/05 09:07 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 08:16 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 07:54 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/04 09:22 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 07:37 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 05:35 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
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