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Tampa Bay at LA Chargers
Sun Dec 15, 2024
4:25pm ET
Inglewood, CA
Tampa Bay at LA Chargers: Over/Under Analysis
Odds: Los Angeles by 3, Total Points: 45.5
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | TB | LAC |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-9-0 | 6-11-1 |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 2-4-0 |
| vs Conference | 5-7-0 | 5-8-0 |
| Streak | Un 3 | Un 3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 0-4-1 |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 2-7-1 |
| Home | 6-2-0 | 3-5-0 |
| Away | 2-7-0 | 3-6-1 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Tampa Bay Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Away | Atlanta | 47.5 | 23-20 | Under | -4.5 |
| 09/15 | Away | Houston | 42.5 | 20-19 | Under | -3.5 |
| 09/21 | Home | NY Jets | 43.0 | 29-27 | Over | +13.0 |
| 09/28 | Home | Philadelphia | 44.0 | 25-31 | Over | +12.0 |
| 10/05 | Away | Seattle | 44.5 | 38-35 | Over | +28.5 |
| 10/12 | Home | San Francisco | 47.0 | 30-19 | Over | +2.0 |
| 10/20 | Away | Detroit | 54.0 | 9-24 | Under | -21.0 |
| 10/26 | Away | New Orleans | 46.0 | 23-3 | Under | -20.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | New England | 47.0 | 23-28 | Over | +4.0 |
| 11/16 | Away | Buffalo | 45.5 | 32-44 | Over | +30.5 |
| 11/23 | Away | LA Rams | 49.5 | 7-34 | Under | -8.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | Arizona | 45.5 | 20-17 | Under | -8.5 |
| 12/07 | Home | New Orleans | 41.5 | 20-24 | Over | +2.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Atlanta | 43.5 | 28-29 | Over | +13.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Carolina | 44.5 | 20-23 | Under | -1.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | Miami | 44.0 | 17-20 | Under | -7.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Carolina | 42.5 | 16-14 | Under | -12.5 |
LA Chargers Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Neutral | Kansas City | 47.5 | 27-21 | Over | +0.5 |
| 09/15 | Away | Las Vegas | 46.5 | 20-9 | Under | -17.5 |
| 09/21 | Home | Denver | 46.0 | 23-20 | Under | -3.0 |
| 09/28 | Away | NY Giants | 42.5 | 18-21 | Under | -3.5 |
| 10/05 | Home | Washington | 48.5 | 10-27 | Under | -11.5 |
| 10/12 | Away | Miami | 45.0 | 29-27 | Over | +11.0 |
| 10/19 | Home | Indianapolis | 48.5 | 24-38 | Over | +13.5 |
| 10/23 | Home | Minnesota | 45.0 | 37-10 | Over | +2.0 |
| 11/02 | Away | Tennessee | 44.0 | 27-20 | Over | +3.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Pittsburgh | 46.0 | 25-10 | Under | -11.0 |
| 11/16 | Away | Jacksonville | 43.0 | 6-35 | Under | -2.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Las Vegas | 40.5 | 31-14 | Over | +4.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Philadelphia | 42.0 | 22-19 | Under | -1.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Kansas City | 41.5 | 16-13 | Under | -12.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Dallas | 51.0 | 34-17 | Push | 0.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Houston | 41.0 | 16-20 | Under | -5.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Denver | 37.5 | 3-19 | Under | -15.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | New England | 45.5 | 3-16 | Under | -26.5 |
| Total 45.5 | Open | 42.5 | High | 47.5 |
| Last | 46.0 | Low | 42.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019 NFL season there have been 338 games with over/under lines between 44.5 and 46.5. In these games:
- Games have gone over the line 168 times (49.7%).
- Games have gone under the line 169 times (50.0%).
- Games have pushed the line 1 times (0.3%).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021 NFL season there have been 98 games where the closing over/under line moved 1 point lower than the opening over/under line.
In these games, the under performed better, going 54-43-1 (55.7%). Game totals went under the line by an average of 0.4 points.
Totals History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 46.0 | 46.0 | 36.5 |
| Open | 46.0 | 42.5 | 46.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/15 06:25 PM | -- | -- | 36.5 |
| 12/15 04:23 PM | 46.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 04:05 PM | -- | -- | 46.0 |
| 12/15 01:41 PM | 46.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 12:38 PM | 45.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 12:36 PM | -- | 46.0 | -- |
| 12/15 12:35 PM | -- | -- | 45.5 |
| 12/15 11:59 AM | 46.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 11:24 AM | -- | 46.0 | -- |
| 12/15 11:15 AM | -- | -- | 46.0 |
| 12/15 09:50 AM | 46.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 08:59 AM | 45.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 08:53 AM | 45.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 07:52 AM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/15 07:46 AM | 45.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 07:39 AM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 05:34 AM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 09:37 PM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 03:10 AM | -- | 45.0 | -- |
| 12/12 03:54 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/12 11:33 AM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 12:30 AM | -- | 45.0 | -- |
| 12/12 12:28 AM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 12:12 AM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/12 12:04 AM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 11:32 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 11:30 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 11:06 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 11:04 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 10:54 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 10:14 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 10:10 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 09:52 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 09:48 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 09:12 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 08:52 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 07:52 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 07:48 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 07:24 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 07:16 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 06:42 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 06:40 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 06:16 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 06:04 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 05:56 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 05:38 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 05:00 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 04:54 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 04:46 PM | 45.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 04:46 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/11 04:40 PM | 45.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:34 PM | 45.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 04:45 PM | -- | -- | 45.5 |
| 12/10 04:22 PM | -- | 45.5 | -- |
| 12/10 04:13 PM | 45.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 02:45 PM | -- | -- | 46.0 |
| 12/10 02:34 PM | -- | 46.0 | -- |
| 12/10 02:31 PM | 46.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 02:30 PM | -- | 46.5 | -- |
| 12/10 01:55 PM | 46.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 07:02 PM | 46.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 08:14 PM | -- | -- | 46.5 |
| 12/03 04:08 PM | -- | 46.5 | -- |
| 05/16 03:04 AM | -- | 42.5 | -- |
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