Tampa Bay (Away) New England (Home)
Win Odds 64.0% 36.0%
Spread -6.5 +6.5
Cover Odds 51.9% 48.1%
Proj Score 27.1 21.0

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
10/03/21 Tampa Bay 37.0 30.7 +5.0 64.0% 36.0% New England 17.5 23.0 +1.0
 
Team Like Tampa Bay Team Like New England
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 29.6 10/03/21 Tennessee 25.9 24.3 -4.3 24 27 NY Jets 4.7 14.1 -16.7
2 29.8 10/07/18 LA Rams 41.9 33.9 +18.3 33 31 Seattle 24.0 24.9 +1.0
3 31.2 10/22/06 Philadelphia 32.6 31.9 +9.2 21 23 Tampa Bay 21.7 22.2 -8.4
4 31.7 11/11/18 New England 36.7 32.0 +7.6 10 34 Tennessee 24.2 25.1 -0.9
5 34.6 09/15/19 Dallas 32.6 28.3 +18.0 31 21 Washington 17.6 20.4 -5.0
6 35.0 10/09/11 New Orleans 43.6 35.7 +7.3 30 27 Carolina 19.7 23.3 -3.3
7 35.2 09/09/12 New England 35.4 32.9 +12.9 34 13 Tennessee 23.0 23.7 -0.9
8 35.3 09/25/05 Cincinnati 37.0 33.9 +21.5 24 7 Chicago 19.4 24.6 +15.0
9 35.5 10/03/04 Indianapolis 40.5 35.4 +8.3 24 17 Jacksonville 34.8 27.1 +2.3
10 36.4 09/27/09 New Orleans 46.4 42.8 +22.0 27 7 Buffalo 21.1 26.9 +6.0
11 36.7 09/23/12 Detroit 26.1 25.0 -2.0 41 44 Tennessee 14.7 15.8 -24.5
12 36.9 10/24/04 LA Rams 23.7 24.9 +1.7 14 31 Miami 4.6 15.2 -8.7
13 37.0 09/29/19 Kansas City 42.6 37.1 +12.3 34 30 Detroit 31.8 27.0 +2.0
14 37.3 09/21/03 Kansas City 33.9 32.6 +17.0 42 14 Houston 22.9 21.2 -10.0
15 37.5 09/21/03 Pittsburgh 29.7 27.5 -1.0 17 10 Cincinnati 14.0 20.9 -11.5
16 38.4 11/05/17 LA Rams 29.8 29.9 +10.6 51 17 NY Giants 15.0 20.7 -6.3
17 38.6 09/28/14 Atlanta 30.2 30.9 +10.3 28 41 Minnesota 13.4 19.6 -2.0
18 38.6 09/09/18 Jacksonville 29.4 28.8 +4.9 20 15 NY Giants 18.4 20.2 -7.7
19 38.7 09/20/15 Miami 27.1 25.2 +7.0 20 23 Jacksonville 9.6 17.0 -11.0
20 39.2 10/04/15 Green Bay 37.5 31.6 +9.3 17 3 San Francisco 20.3 20.5 -16.0
21 39.2 10/05/17 New England 36.3 31.8 +0.3 19 14 Tampa Bay 24.9 23.1 +2.3
22 39.4 10/11/20 Arizona 17.3 22.3 +1.5 30 10 NY Jets -2.9 9.6 -16.5
23 39.5 09/20/20 San Francisco 33.3 30.7 -4.0 31 13 NY Jets 19.6 21.2 -10.0
24 39.6 09/24/17 Atlanta 38.7 33.0 +8.5 30 26 Detroit 29.6 25.9 +13.0
25 39.9 09/30/18 New Orleans 33.9 29.6 +0.3 33 18 NY Giants 9.3 18.1 -2.3
26 39.9 09/29/19 Seattle 27.5 24.2 -1.0 27 10 Arizona 14.8 20.6 -8.0
27 40.0 10/08/20 Tampa Bay 32.9 30.8 +7.0 19 20 Chicago 21.5 22.2 +1.0
28 40.1 11/25/04 Indianapolis 32.6 31.9 +10.9 41 9 Detroit 19.0 21.7 -3.3
29 40.2 10/05/08 LA Chargers 30.7 31.4 +6.5 10 17 Miami 25.4 24.7 -0.7
30 40.4 09/15/19 Kansas City 35.9 33.6 +14.0 28 10 Las Vegas 23.6 22.9 +8.0
31 40.5 09/23/18 New England 29.2 27.6 -2.0 10 26 Detroit 15.2 19.9 -17.0
32 40.5 10/03/21 Kansas City 28.0 26.5 -1.0 42 30 Philadelphia 16.9 21.2 0.0
33 40.5 10/05/03 Minnesota 28.7 30.6 +13.5 39 26 Atlanta 26.2 23.9 -7.3
34 41.0 10/07/12 Green Bay 26.8 27.0 +1.0 27 30 Indianapolis 22.6 20.9 -7.3
35 41.3 10/16/11 New Orleans 39.0 32.0 +6.4 20 26 Tampa Bay 26.9 21.4 -7.6
36 41.9 10/15/17 New England 36.5 30.9 +1.2 24 17 NY Jets 26.9 23.6 -2.8
37 42.2 10/24/13 Carolina 25.9 28.3 +9.3 31 13 Tampa Bay 5.0 16.7 -7.5
38 42.3 10/03/04 New England 45.9 34.4 +7.0 31 17 Buffalo 13.5 22.1 -3.0
39 42.3 10/20/13 Denver 44.2 38.0 +17.8 33 39 Indianapolis 32.1 30.6 +8.3
40 42.3 09/07/14 New England 32.0 29.9 +8.4 20 33 Miami 24.6 23.7 -0.3
41 42.4 10/10/10 LA Chargers 27.7 28.8 +10.5 27 35 Las Vegas 15.5 18.0 -7.8
42 42.9 10/14/18 Jacksonville 27.7 27.4 +3.2 7 40 Dallas 17.3 21.0 -2.6
43 43.0 10/02/11 New Orleans 36.4 33.2 +5.3 23 10 Jacksonville 19.5 20.1 -11.0
44 43.1 11/07/10 New England 37.9 31.6 +7.3 14 34 Cleveland 25.0 23.6 -3.4
45 43.3 10/07/18 Tennessee 33.2 26.5 +0.5 12 13 Buffalo 21.4 19.5 -14.0
46 43.3 09/18/05 Pittsburgh 41.0 33.8 +27.0 27 7 Houston 19.6 22.5 -15.0
47 43.5 10/25/09 LA Chargers 26.3 25.7 -2.4 37 7 Kansas City 8.7 16.2 -7.7
48 43.8 10/06/13 Denver 42.9 39.9 +22.0 51 48 Dallas 21.9 25.4 +4.8
49 43.8 10/11/15 Arizona 29.6 31.9 +18.8 42 17 Detroit 11.7 18.8 -7.5
50 43.9 10/11/15 Denver 38.5 29.4 +7.0 16 10 Las Vegas 23.3 21.8 -2.8
51 44.1 10/15/07 NY Giants 31.3 28.6 -0.2 31 10 Atlanta 24.6 24.4 -6.2
52 44.1 11/03/19 Green Bay 38.9 32.9 +6.5 11 26 LA Chargers 19.7 23.2 0.0
53 44.2 09/28/08 LA Chargers 26.0 30.1 +5.3 28 18 Las Vegas 18.9 22.2 -4.3
54 44.3 09/21/20 New Orleans 34.7 32.6 +11.0 24 34 Las Vegas 22.0 21.5 +4.0
55 44.5 09/21/14 Dallas 24.6 26.3 +2.5 34 31 LA Rams 18.4 17.6 -13.0
56 44.7 09/24/17 Miami 29.4 26.3 +2.0 6 20 NY Jets 11.4 16.6 -17.0
57 44.8 11/04/18 Kansas City 40.1 34.1 +10.6 37 21 Cleveland 18.1 20.1 -5.1
58 44.8 09/21/14 Indianapolis 20.8 24.1 -5.0 44 17 Jacksonville 5.9 11.5 -24.0
59 44.8 09/19/10 Houston 35.4 30.6 +10.0 30 27 Washington 23.3 24.9 +6.0
60 44.9 09/11/05 Cincinnati 32.3 29.1 +1.7 27 13 Cleveland 21.5 22.8 -12.3
61 45.1 10/03/10 Indianapolis 28.1 27.6 +9.3 28 31 Jacksonville 9.9 13.1 -14.3
62 45.2 09/27/10 Green Bay 40.7 36.7 +17.0 17 20 Chicago 31.5 28.3 +6.0
63 45.3 10/03/10 NY Jets 37.2 34.0 +7.0 38 14 Buffalo 15.6 21.4 -13.3
64 45.3 09/10/18 LA Rams 25.9 26.1 +2.7 33 13 Las Vegas 18.4 20.4 -7.7
65 45.3 09/16/12 Washington 33.1 30.8 +8.0 28 31 LA Rams 13.2 20.0 -4.0
66 45.4 10/14/18 LA Rams 45.0 34.3 +15.0 23 20 Denver 22.5 21.4 -6.2
67 45.4 10/09/05 Philadelphia 38.1 31.4 +11.0 10 33 Dallas 27.7 25.2 0.0
68 45.4 10/17/10 Indianapolis 32.0 30.4 +7.0 27 24 Washington 24.9 24.4 -0.6
69 45.5 09/16/07 New Orleans 23.0 21.9 -31.0 14 31 Tampa Bay 10.5 14.4 -14.0
70 45.7 09/15/13 New Orleans 30.1 29.0 +6.0 16 14 Tampa Bay 19.0 24.2 -1.0
71 45.9 09/18/05 Kansas City 32.5 32.2 +20.0 23 17 Las Vegas 21.5 23.9 -10.0
72 46.0 09/19/19 Tennessee 27.3 30.3 +14.0 7 20 Jacksonville 14.3 21.9 -7.5
73 46.1 09/09/12 Philadelphia 34.0 33.1 +7.3 17 16 Cleveland 13.9 20.7 -5.3
74 46.2 09/08/19 Kansas City 32.2 31.5 +6.6 40 26 Jacksonville 19.9 21.7 -4.6
75 46.2 09/26/10 LA Chargers 31.1 30.3 +9.0 20 27 Seattle 15.1 19.8 +4.0