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Tampa Bay at Minnesota
Sun Sep 10, 2023
1:00pm ET
Minneapolis, MN
Tampa Bay at Minnesota: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Minnesota by 4, Total Points: 45
ATS Situational Trends (Last Season)
| Record | TB | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-7-0 | 7-7-3 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-6-0 | 6-5-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 0-3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-4-2 | |
| Home | 4-5-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Away | 8-2-0 | 5-1-3 |
Tampa Bay Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|
| MIN -4.0 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018 NFL season there have been 292 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Minnesota won the game 163 times (55.8%).
- The team like Tampa Bay won the game 129 times (44.2%).
- The team like Tampa Bay did better against the spread, going 162-118-12 (57.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020 NFL season there have been 49 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Tampa Bay did better against the spread, going 27-22 (55.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -- |
| Open | -7.0 | -6.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/10 01:02 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 12:13 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 11:37 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 11:01 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 10:34 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/10 09:54 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/10 09:48 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 06:37 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 01:31 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 09:52 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 06:34 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/09 06:28 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 06:04 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/09 04:24 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/09 11:35 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 07:54 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/09 05:44 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/08 08:34 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/08 01:44 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 02:24 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/07 05:51 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 05:44 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/07 04:19 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 04:04 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/07 03:24 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/07 03:14 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 01:35 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 12:54 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/07 12:20 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 11:01 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 10:33 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 09:40 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 11:53 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 11:19 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 08:09 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 11:34 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/05 10:55 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 06:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/05 11:44 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 08:22 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 08:07 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 01:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 08/27 02:07 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/20 12:26 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/19 11:40 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/17 11:01 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/15 01:02 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/11 10:35 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 07/15 02:54 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 06/30 12:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 06/25 09:35 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 06/12 07:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 05/20 10:44 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 05/17 08:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 05/16 04:14 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 01:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 05/12 11:41 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/12 08:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 05/11 09:04 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
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