Kansas City (Away) Tampa Bay (Home)
Win Odds 54.3% 45.7%
Spread +2.0 -2.0
Cover Odds 63.7% 36.3%
Proj Score 25.5 22.6

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
10/02/22 Kansas City 22.2 25.3 +7.7 54.3% 45.7% Tampa Bay 38.4 33.3 +8.0
 
Team Like Kansas City Team Like Tampa Bay
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 26.5 10/02/16 Buffalo 22.9 25.5 +1.0 16 0 New England 41.1 33.4 +12.0
2 28.4 10/09/05 New England 22.8 25.0 -5.3 31 28 Atlanta 35.8 31.0 +7.3
3 28.7 09/24/18 Pittsburgh 24.8 26.3 -2.5 30 27 Tampa Bay 37.9 31.0 +7.0
4 28.8 09/24/20 Miami 14.0 19.7 -6.5 31 13 Jacksonville 26.1 26.8 +2.0
5 29.2 10/09/16 Atlanta 34.0 30.6 +7.0 23 16 Denver 45.4 34.6 +11.8
6 29.8 10/05/14 Atlanta 16.8 19.8 +4.5 20 30 NY Giants 33.9 30.6 +3.0
7 30.1 10/06/19 Atlanta 12.6 18.5 -7.3 32 53 Houston 27.9 26.7 0.0
8 30.2 09/28/08 Minnesota 24.4 28.2 +0.7 17 30 Tennessee 38.7 34.0 +14.3
9 30.5 09/14/08 New Orleans 27.6 25.7 +4.0 24 29 Washington 33.2 31.3 -9.0
10 31.2 10/19/03 Tennessee 31.2 27.8 +4.0 37 17 Carolina 51.9 34.3 +6.6
11 32.1 09/20/09 New Orleans 21.9 26.0 +18.0 48 22 Philadelphia 38.5 36.3 +28.0
12 33.6 09/21/14 Pittsburgh 27.0 23.8 -8.5 37 19 Carolina 33.3 29.2 +11.5
13 33.9 11/02/08 Green Bay 26.6 28.4 +5.0 16 19 Tennessee 43.4 35.4 +13.3
14 34.3 10/21/18 New Orleans 30.0 28.6 +8.0 24 23 Baltimore 37.1 33.9 +12.7
15 34.3 09/21/14 Kansas City 12.4 20.1 -11.5 34 15 Miami 32.2 28.3 -3.0
16 34.3 10/06/13 Baltimore 33.3 30.7 +1.0 26 23 Miami 44.4 31.4 0.0
17 34.8 10/04/04 Kansas City 5.3 15.9 -8.0 27 24 Baltimore 26.7 25.3 +4.7
18 35.0 09/11/11 Dallas 23.8 24.8 +2.3 24 27 NY Jets 37.0 32.6 +4.4
19 35.8 10/02/05 Denver 30.2 27.8 -0.3 20 7 Jacksonville 37.1 31.3 +3.7
20 36.2 09/14/14 Dallas 17.9 21.6 -11.0 26 10 Tennessee 29.1 29.1 +16.0
21 36.4 10/02/16 New Orleans 7.1 16.4 -5.7 35 34 LA Chargers 15.0 25.8 +4.7
22 36.5 09/25/22 Green Bay 28.6 26.5 +0.5 14 12 Tampa Bay 42.4 36.3 +13.0
23 37.0 10/18/20 Atlanta 12.0 20.3 -7.8 40 23 Minnesota 27.7 27.9 -4.0
24 37.0 10/19/14 New Orleans 17.2 19.6 -1.8 23 24 Detroit 27.8 27.8 +5.7
25 37.1 09/21/08 Arizona 29.0 27.2 +15.5 17 24 Washington 34.0 30.3 -2.0
26 37.2 09/21/08 Tampa Bay 24.8 26.9 +5.5 27 24 Chicago 33.2 32.7 +6.5
27 37.2 09/19/21 Minnesota 12.3 18.2 -3.0 33 34 Arizona 29.2 30.8 +25.0
28 37.5 10/02/05 Seattle 29.5 25.2 +5.3 17 20 Washington 41.7 29.3 +1.5
29 37.5 09/28/03 Atlanta 20.2 21.7 -3.0 3 23 Carolina 39.8 30.2 +2.0
30 37.6 09/17/06 Carolina 26.4 26.3 -14.0 13 16 Minnesota 36.2 30.3 +3.0
31 37.7 10/04/15 Kansas City 27.0 25.8 -3.3 21 36 Cincinnati 42.8 31.6 +9.7
32 37.9 09/05/12 Dallas 25.0 25.7 -2.7 24 17 NY Giants 39.7 34.0 +9.3
33 37.9 10/05/09 Green Bay 31.6 27.0 +6.0 23 30 Minnesota 46.8 34.1 +10.3
34 38.0 09/07/14 Minnesota 20.2 21.1 -4.3 34 6 LA Rams 31.7 29.5 +3.4
35 38.0 09/20/09 Tampa Bay 17.0 20.3 -13.0 20 33 Buffalo 22.4 25.9 -1.0
36 38.4 09/26/19 Philadelphia 22.6 24.1 -0.7 34 27 Green Bay 35.1 30.8 +7.7
37 38.6 10/17/04 Kansas City 19.7 20.8 -5.3 16 22 Jacksonville 31.2 25.4 -2.6
38 39.0 09/24/12 Green Bay 25.1 25.6 +2.5 12 14 Seattle 36.5 34.2 +8.0
39 39.3 10/10/21 Philadelphia 15.9 20.8 -3.0 21 18 Carolina 32.4 30.7 +7.8
40 39.5 09/24/17 New Orleans 19.2 21.1 -13.0 34 13 Carolina 28.7 28.6 +13.0
41 39.9 09/24/17 Seattle 23.5 22.8 -2.5 27 33 Tennessee 30.6 29.2 +5.5
42 40.1 09/23/18 New Orleans 29.2 27.1 -2.5 43 37 Atlanta 34.4 30.6 +0.5
43 40.2 09/28/14 Philadelphia 26.4 21.8 +7.7 21 26 San Francisco 31.2 28.6 -2.0
44 40.4 10/16/05 Minnesota 16.4 18.2 -10.8 3 28 Chicago 23.5 27.3 +0.8
45 40.5 09/21/14 Denver 32.7 29.4 +7.0 20 26 Seattle 35.8 33.6 +5.5
46 40.6 10/16/05 New England 31.6 28.2 -3.6 20 28 Denver 41.6 31.7 +2.8
47 40.6 09/29/13 NY Giants 11.8 19.6 -20.3 7 31 Kansas City 29.9 27.3 +12.3
48 40.7 09/11/17 LA Chargers 18.4 22.8 -4.9 21 24 Denver 29.3 28.1 -1.7
49 40.7 10/11/09 Atlanta 24.3 24.5 +1.3 45 10 San Francisco 40.8 34.5 +12.3
50 40.8 09/30/12 Miami 22.5 27.0 -0.3 21 24 Arizona 49.7 36.4 +9.0
51 40.8 10/13/19 Philadelphia 24.9 27.0 +6.0 20 38 Minnesota 30.6 30.5 +7.8
52 41.1 09/21/08 Houston 21.6 22.2 -21.0 12 31 Tennessee 31.6 29.4 +12.0
53 41.1 10/14/18 Indianapolis 13.9 20.8 -4.0 34 42 NY Jets 24.1 25.7 +3.6
54 41.1 10/11/15 Seattle 27.6 26.3 +4.0 24 27 Cincinnati 42.5 32.0 +11.0
55 41.3 10/24/10 Philadelphia 28.8 27.9 +5.5 19 37 Tennessee 34.2 33.5 +10.7
56 41.3 10/19/08 New Orleans 24.3 27.4 +6.5 7 30 Carolina 31.2 29.0 +3.3
57 41.4 10/02/22 Tennessee 13.5 16.5 -11.0 24 17 Indianapolis 20.5 22.4 -7.0
58 41.5 10/22/17 Tampa Bay 20.6 22.1 -0.6 27 30 Buffalo 28.4 27.6 +3.0
59 41.5 10/12/14 New England 27.1 27.2 +3.2 37 22 Buffalo 30.8 29.0 +1.4
60 41.5 10/04/15 NY Giants 28.4 29.7 +2.0 24 10 Buffalo 38.0 35.0 +10.7
61 41.6 10/03/16 NY Giants 27.6 23.8 +0.7 10 24 Minnesota 41.1 33.2 +8.0
62 42.0 09/09/04 Indianapolis 36.5 31.2 +7.1 24 27 New England 45.3 33.9 +11.1
63 42.2 09/22/19 NY Giants 13.1 16.2 -16.0 32 31 Tampa Bay 19.9 23.1 -4.0
64 42.2 09/26/21 Cincinnati 16.7 20.3 0.0 24 10 Pittsburgh 30.7 28.5 -1.0
65 42.2 10/26/08 NY Giants 28.6 26.7 +11.5 21 14 Pittsburgh 38.2 33.3 +8.7
66 42.3 09/25/22 Houston 10.2 17.2 -3.5 20 23 Chicago 25.1 23.2 -4.0
67 42.5 09/20/09 Carolina 22.6 22.0 -28.0 20 28 Atlanta 33.8 29.7 +12.0
68 42.5 10/07/12 Miami 17.3 23.8 -1.0 17 13 Cincinnati 36.7 29.1 0.0
69 42.5 10/29/20 Atlanta 15.6 22.8 -3.3 25 17 Carolina 26.5 26.9 -0.9
70 42.5 10/02/22 Arizona 11.1 16.3 -8.3 26 16 Carolina 18.7 21.5 +1.0
71 42.7 09/22/19 Atlanta 26.0 23.6 -6.0 24 27 Indianapolis 30.4 28.2 -2.0
72 42.8 09/10/15 Pittsburgh 29.2 28.0 +4.7 21 28 New England 41.3 35.6 +10.9
73 43.1 09/12/04 Cincinnati 20.1 22.1 -3.4 24 31 NY Jets 24.2 25.5 -1.3
74 43.2 10/11/09 Houston 21.2 25.8 +0.5 21 28 Arizona 32.6 31.6 -3.7
75 43.2 09/28/08 Atlanta 18.2 21.9 +7.3 9 24 Carolina 27.1 27.9 -1.7